Latest Battleground States Polling on Voter Deadline Day

Today marks the final day to register for both in person and early voting in two battleground states, Arizona and Georgia, which will likely be key to determining the next president on November 5.
Voters in both states will be electing the president, as well as other federal, state, and local officials; Arizona voters will also be voting for a U.S. Senator to replace independent incumbent Kyrsten Sinema.
Georgia voters can check their registration on the Georgia Secretary of State’s website, which can confirm if their registration is active and which polling place to go to. Voters can register online here or at their local county election office. Applications must be submitted by midnight today. Early voting begins next week, on October 15.
Arizona voters can check their registration here, which can confirm if their registration is active and which polling place to go to. Voters can register online here or at their local county election office. Applications must be submitted by today. Early ballots will be posted to voters on Wednesday.
Polling in Georgia suggests an incredibly close race. Donald Trump won by over 100,000 votes in 2016, and Joe Biden narrowly carried the state by 11,779 votes in 2020, a number made famous by Trump’s January 2, 2021 phone call to Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, where Trump told an official 11,780 votes “would overturn the loss.”
Earlier this year, Trump dominated polling in the state against Joe Biden, but polling has tightened since Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee. On October 7, FiveThirtyEight put Trump ahead by 1.4 points, on 48.4 percent to Harris on 47.
One poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University between September 25 and 29, gave Trump a six-point lead, more than in any other recent poll.
Arizona polling paints a similar picture, where Trump strongly led Biden earlier in the year, but the race has tightened since Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee. On October 7, FiveThirtyEight put Trump ahead by 1.6 points, on 48.2 percent to Harris on 46.6.
Trump led by four points in the most recent Arizona poll, which was conducted by RMG Research between September 30 and October 2. It surveyed 783 likely voters.
In the Arizona Senate race, Democrat Ruben Gallego is dominating Republican Kari Lake by double digits in polling. Lake is a staunch ally of Trump, and a prominent MAGA politician.
The seat is currently occupied by Kyrsten Sinema, who left the Democratic Party to become an independent in December 2023, and then chose not to run for reelection.
Lake shot to national prominence as a figure in former president Donald Trump’s MAGA movement after stepping down as a news anchor to run for Arizona governor in 2021. She ran a campaign focused on securing the U.S.-Mexico border, protecting gun rights, and protesting COVID-19 lockdowns, “cancel culture” and “woke” school curriculums.
She lost the election to Katie Hobbs by just over 17,000 votes, but refused to concede because she believed the election was unfair.
Lake’s 2022 loss has continued to follow her into her 2024 Senate campaign. This year she has seen multiple legal setbacks, including in March, admitting that she defamed a fellow Republican by accusing him of a plot to rig the 2022 gubernatorial election, and in June losing her sixth appeal contesting the results of that same election.
Newsweek has contacted the campaigns of Harris, Trump, Lake, and Gallego for comment.